Proposition Console
Probabilistic reasoning for any yes/no proposition
Define a proposition in plain language and QSE analyzes it: the claim is normalized, evidence is gathered and weighted, and confidence is allocated across five states.
What Proposition Console Does
Proposition Console is the question-first way to use QSE. You write a yes/no proposition, and the engine runs its full pipeline on it:
- Normalization. Your input is reduced to a single canonical yes/no claim, so the analysis target is unambiguous.
- Evidence-weighted analysis. Relevant evidence is gathered and scored as factors, each with a direction and a strength.
- Confidence allocation. The factor scores combine into a confidence allocation across five states, from strong support to strong opposition.
The output is a structured assessment of the proposition, not a verdict. QSE allocates confidence; it does not issue predictions.
What You Get
- A five-state confidence allocation for your proposition, with the reasoning behind it.
- Factor-level rationale showing which evidence supported or opposed the claim.
- A consistent, repeatable analysis: the same pipeline runs every time, documented on the Pipeline page.
Starting from a Market Instead?
If your starting point is a specific live market rather than a question, use the Market Console, which checks a market from a supported venue and runs QSE on it.
For a longer explanation of five-state reasoning, read confidence allocation.
New to QSE? Read About QSE for the principles behind the engine, or compare plans for usage allowances.