Market Console
On-demand prediction market analysis, powered by QSE
Select a live market, check it, and run a full QSE confidence allocation analysis on it. Market Console is market-first: you start from a specific market rather than a question.
What Market Console Does
Market Console applies the QSE engine to a market you choose from supported venues, including Kalshi and Polymarket. The workflow is deliberate and two-staged:
- Check Market. Enter a market and Market Console retrieves its current structure: the contract being priced, the market probability, and the context QSE needs before any analysis runs.
- Confirm and run. Review the checked market, then run a full QSE analysis. The engine evaluates evidence, scores factors, and allocates confidence across five states.
The result is a market probability analysis you can audit: the model's confidence allocation, the market-implied probability, and the divergence between them, with the factor rationale behind the outcome.
What You Get
- A five-state confidence allocation for the checked market, produced by the same QSE pipeline that powers every QSE analysis.
- The market-implied probability alongside the model output, so the divergence is explicit rather than implied.
- Factor-level rationale explaining which evidence drove the allocation.
Plan Allowances
Market Console uses two separate daily allowances: market checks and QSE analyses.
- Free: 10 market checks per day.
- Pro: 40 market checks and 10 QSE analyses per day.
- Power: 120 market checks and 30 QSE analyses per day.
Compare plans for the full entitlement breakdown.
Separate from Edge Spotter
A Market Console analysis is an on-demand result for the market you selected. It is not an Edge Spotter published signal, and it does not appear on the public Signals page or the Track Record.
Prefer to start from a question rather than a market? Use the Proposition Console.
Background reading: how prediction market probabilities work and model confidence vs market probability.