QSE
    QSE Engine Version: v1.0•Deterministic•Probabilistic•Confidence-Based

    QSE Pipeline

    How propositions flow through the Quantum State Engine.

    This page documents the seven-stage execution pipeline that every QSE analysis follows: from input validation and module routing through factor scoring, quality assurance, and final confidence allocation. The same pipeline powers both the Proposition Console and the automated Edge Spotter signal generation.

    Pipeline Overview

    The system processes markets through a gated pipeline designed to filter noise and enforce reliability.

    Every QSE analysis follows a strict seven-stage pipeline. Each stage validates its inputs and produces well-defined outputs. If any stage fails validation, the system returns a "FAIL" status rather than fabricating data (fail-closed principle).

    Input → Router → Executor → QA → Repair → Engine → Serializer

    Pipeline Stages

    Input Validation

    Validates and normalizes the incoming proposition

    • •Trims and validates proposition text
    • •Rejects interrogatives (questions)
    • •Normalizes claims to canonical form
    • •Generates unique Run ID
    Output: Validated proposition + Run ID

    Router

    Determines the appropriate analysis module

    • •Analyzes proposition content
    • •Detects sports-specific signals (NBA, NFL, etc.)
    • •Routes to General or specialized module
    • •Records routing decision for transparency
    Output: Selected module (General / NBA)

    Executor

    Generates factor scores based on evidence

    • •Applies module-specific factor taxonomy
    • •Scores each factor: -1, -0.5, 0, +0.5, +1
    • •Assigns weights (1-10) per factor
    • •Pads to exactly 30 factors if needed
    Output: 30 scored factors with weights

    QA Gate

    Validates executor output integrity

    • •Verifies factor count = 30
    • •Validates score values in allowed set
    • •Checks weight bounds [1-10]
    • •Confirms polarity alignment
    Output: Pass / Fail + validation report

    Repair (if needed)

    Attempts to fix validation failures

    • •Triggered only if QA fails
    • •Snaps out-of-range scores to nearest valid
    • •Clamps weights to [1-10]
    • •Re-validates after repair
    Output: Repaired factors or FAIL

    Engine

    Computes confidence allocation

    • •Calculates raw sum R = Σ(score × weight)
    • •Applies sigmoid: p = 1 / (1 + e^(-αR))
    • •Applies suppression for uncertain signals
    • •Maps to quantum state probabilities via Gaussian kernel
    Output: State probabilities + final label

    Serializer

    Formats output for display

    • •Selects top 5 factors for public view
    • •Hides internal weights and raw scores
    • •Generates caveats and flip conditions
    • •Adds metadata (timestamp, run ID)
    Output: PublicOutput JSON

    Fail-Closed Behavior

    On Success

    All stages pass validation → Complete PublicOutput with confidence allocation, factors, and metadata.

    On Failure

    Any stage fails validation → Returns { "status": "FAIL" } with no partial data. No fabrication, no guessing.

    Key Principles

    Deterministic

    Same inputs always produce the same outputs. No hidden randomness.

    Probabilistic

    Distributes confidence across states rather than producing point-estimate forecasts.

    Confidence-Based

    Outputs reflect probabilistic confidence across a structured state lattice.

    Fail-Closed

    Returns FAIL rather than fabricating data on error.

    Important Notice: QSE outputs represent structured probabilistic confidence allocations based on available evidence and model assumptions. Edge Spotter signals are analytical market observations, not personalized recommendations. QSE and Edge Spotter are provided for informational and decision-support purposes only and must not be interpreted as financial, investment, wagering, medical, or health advice, nor as a substitute for professional judgment. Edge Spotter is an independent analysis tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Kalshi.com.